Home ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 ICC Cricket World Cup 2023: Qualification Scenario For The Last Semi-Final Spot

ICC Cricket World Cup 2023: Qualification Scenario For The Last Semi-Final Spot

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ICC Cricket World Cup 2023: Qualification Scenario For The Last Semi-Final Spot
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JULY 17: The ICC Men's Cricket World Cup trophy sits on the MCG during an ICC World Cup Media Opportunity at Melbourne Cricket Ground on July 17, 2023 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Morgan Hancock/Getty Images for Cricket Australia)

The ICC ODI World Cup 2023 is heading towards the business end with the race for the semi-finals spot getting interesting. Team India became the first team to qualify for the knockout round, defeating South Africa in their last game. Meanwhile, New Zealand’s defeat against Pakistan helped South Africa book a spot.

Australia became the third team following Glenn Maxwell’s remarkable performance against Afghanistan. The last spot for the semi-finals is up for grabs. The likes of England, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh have been knocked out of the race for the semi-finals. Meanwhile, New Zealand, Pakistan, Afghanistan and the Netherlands will be batting for the last spot.

Let’s take a look at the qualification scenarios for these teams to seal a place in the ICC ODI World Cup 2023 semi-finals.

ICC ODI World Cup 2023 Semi-Finals Qualification Scenario

New Zealand

Current Rank: Fourth

Win/Loss: 4/4 out of 8 matches

NRR: 0.398

New Zealand will play against Sri Lanka in their final league-stage match on November 9. The Kane Williamson-led team needs to win the match and finish on 10 points. However, they will also want Afghanistan and Pakistan to lose their respective final games. If Afghanistan and Pakistan also finish with 10 points, it will be a three-way tie. In this case, New Zealand needs to ensure they finish with a higher NRR. If New Zealand loses their final match against Sri Lanka, they need to hope Pakistan, Afghanistan and the Netherlands also lose their final games.


Pakistan

Current Rank: Fifth

Win/Loss: 4/4 out of 8 matches

NRR: 0.036

Pakistan need to beat England in their final league-stage match and also wants New Zealand and Afghanistan to lose their remaining games. In this case, they will finish on 10 points while New Zealand and Afghanistan will remain on eight. However, if either New Zealand or Afghanistan wins their respective final match, Pakistan needs to defeat England by a huge margin to go ahead of them on NRR. In case Pakistan loses, they will need Afghanistan and New Zealand to lose as well. But the Kiwis need to lose by a huge margin to go below Pakistan’s NRR.


Afghanistan

Current Rank: Sixth

Win/Loss: 4/4 out of 8 matches

NRR: -0.338

Afghanistan cannot afford to lose against South Africa in their final match of the league stages. They also need New Zealand and Pakistan to lose their respective final game. In the case of a three-way tie between Afghanistan, New Zealand and Pakistan, the Hashmatullah Shahidi-led team needs a huge win against South Africa to boost their NRR. If Afghanistan loses they will almost be knocked out given their inferior NRR.


Netherlands

Current Rank: Ninth

Win/Loss: 2/5 out of 7 matches

NRR: -1.398

The Netherlands have an outside chance of qualifying for the semi-finals. Firstly, they need New Zealand, Pakistan and Afghanistan to lose their respective final match. The Netherlands also has to defeat England and India in their remaining two games. In this scenario, there will be a four-way tie with eight points. The Netherlands needs to pull off a miracle to go past the trio’s NRR.


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