Afghanistan‘s landmark victory against Australia has created a couple of scenarios in Group 1, in which all 4 teams are competing for the two semi-final berths. Here are the institution’s capability outcomes heading into the very last round of Super 8 fits.
Points Table:
Teams Matches Won Lost Points NRR
India 2 2 0 4 2.425
Australia 2 1 1 2 0.223
Afghanistan 2 1 1 2 -0.65
Bangladesh 2 0 2 0 -2.489
Upcoming matches
India
India remains undefeated on this match, and their decisive victory over Bangladesh has located them well in the series with a strong Net Run Rate (NRR) of 2.425. Even a loss to Australia in their very last match can see them increase as the group winners.
A victory or a match without a result in their last game against Australia will secure India a spot in the semifinals regardless of the outcome between Afghanistan and Bangladesh. The only scenario where they could be eliminated is if they lose to Australia by a significant margin that causes their NRR to fall below Afghanistan’s (assuming Afghanistan defeats Bangladesh).
In a scenario where India, Australia, and Afghanistan turn out to be in a three-manner tie, India would be eliminated if Australia defeats them by means of 41 runs or extra to surpass their NRR, whilst Afghanistan could need to defeat Bangladesh by means of 83 runs or more to surpass India’s NRR.
Australia & Afghanistan
Both teams have one win and one loss going into their final group games. Australia currently holds a better NRR, despite a setback against Afghanistan. To qualify, Australia have to defeat India and hope Afghanistan either loses to Bangladesh or does not win with the aid of a massive sufficient margin to surpass Australia’s NRR.
If Australia loses to India and Afghanistan beats Bangladesh, Australia may be removed. Afghanistan’s win over Australia has revived their semi-final hopes. To qualify, Afghanistan wishes to conquer Bangladesh and desire India defeats Australia.
If Australia beats India through 1 run, Afghanistan need to beat Bangladesh by means of 36 or extra runs (assuming the team batting first ratings one hundred sixty runs) to overhaul Australia’s NRR.
Bangladesh
Afghanistan’s win keeps Bangladesh in the tournament for another day. While they need a miracle to qualify due to their -2.489 NRR, they are still mathematically in the race. Bangladesh can reach the semifinals if they beat Afghanistan by a large margin and India defeats Australia by a substantial margin.
In any such scenario, NRR will decide the standings in a three-way tie between Australia, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh. If Australia loses to India via fifty five runs, Bangladesh might want to win by means of 31 or extra runs to qualify for the semis together with India (assuming the group batting first ratings one hundred sixty runs).
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